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Archive for Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Meet a “Ten Bagger” in less than 6 months!

Wednesday, January 2, 2008 Sage 10 comments

When I first spotted this stock back in June, it was just like another penny stock at 17 . Today six months later the stock is at 191. That is 11 times its price!

The stock is VB Desai Finance and please look at the chart below. In December alone, it has moved from 90 levels to 190+ levels.

The only way you can make money in such stocks is through trend trading. A “buy and hold” never works here!Right entry and right exit are the key to making money.

For your information- the stock had moved from 2 to 32 during 1999-2000 and then fell back to 1 in 2001!

vbdesai.jpg

Categories: Mid Cap Stock Ideas

Welcome 2008- NIFTY hits a new high!

Wednesday, January 2, 2008 Sage Leave a comment

2008 has been welcomed with a new high on the NIFTY! The uptrend is continuing as expected and everything is going up!

I have been meeting a couple of market veterans and many of them have been confused by this sustained upmove. This is one of the longest uptrends Indian markets have seen and many people are finding it difficult to come to terms with it-especially the old timers!

On the other hand, the newbies are rejoicing. People are slowly getting gung ho about equity markets and those who earlier experimented with mutual funds are slowly turning to being active investors in the stock markets. And the markets have not disappointed them either. 100% gain in 1 -2 weeks is also not unusual! Even I had recommended some penny stocks to my clients and was surprised to see their sharp upmove.

As I had written last time, the scene is similar to Dec 1999 or May 2006.Technically, I am still to see signs of any crash but the beauty of crashes is that they surface from nowhere. And let me tell you many stocks fall as much as 70-80% during such corrections.

Infact, technically I am playing for 6600 on the NIFTY now but at the same time we are being extra cautious about the quality of stocks we add. This market can easily lure you into entering “cats and dogs”. The problems with stock markets is that the “moment” a retail investor starts to gain confidence, the markets behave in a manner to shatter that overconfidence.

And I am sensing that “overconfidence”. The other day I was talking to a guy-a  guy who runs a restaurant but watches CNBC rather than MTV during market hours! He told me stories of stocks he bought at 60 paisa and now the stock is 4 bucks! He also told me how trading futures is a “zero loss” game because he never cuts his position and the stock always rebounds above his buying price!All I could do was offer a smile to him and nod at his ignorance :-)

So all I can suggest is-do NOT drop your guard.In other words-assess your RISK constantly.

May this year bring a lot of wealth for all of you!

Categories: Market Strategy